Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
0.95/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.20
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
214 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
14.3 Crosses 19.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bolivar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
195 Passes 344
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 3-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
26.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
10.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 2-2 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
09.05.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-1
AWAY Bolivar
0.84 xG 2.10
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
143 Passes 412
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto and Bolivar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Bolivar carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 31% of the ball to Bolivar's 69%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.84 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 2.00 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar?

Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 23%, draw 21%, Bolivar 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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