Al Ahed 3-0 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.5pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.8pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 12%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.71/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.62
+19% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tadamon Sour
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.04.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
13.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 4-0 HT 2-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed swept aside Tadamon Sour 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahed and 0.50 for Tadamon Sour.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?

Al Ahed 3-0 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 61%, draw 25%, Tadamon Sour 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
24 May 2025
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