Aalesund 1-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
2.03/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.33
+5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Start
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.57 xG 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
06.04.2024 Start Start 1-3 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
01.11.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 3-2 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
30.05.2021 Start Start 2-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
30.08.2020 Start Start 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
29.07.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 3-2 HT 1-2 Start Start NOR
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund and Start shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalesund and 1.50 for Start.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Start?

Aalesund 1-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 53%, draw 24%, Start 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
24 May 2025
17:00 Moss vs Skeid Analysis →
17:00 Raufoss vs Stabaek Analysis →
17:00 Kongsvinger vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
17:00 Mjondalen vs Lilleström Analysis →