CA Penarol 2-0 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.46
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
25.11.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
24.04.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-2 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
10.10.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
06.10.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URUK
14.05.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
2-0
AWAY Plaza Colonia
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol beat Plaza Colonia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CA Penarol had 60% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 40%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia?

CA Penarol 2-0 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 59%, draw 22%, Plaza Colonia 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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