Las Palmas 1-1 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 32% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.87
X/2
7%
11.85
X/X
10%
5.78
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
8%
9.96
2/X
4%
18.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.3pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.57/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.47
-1% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
12.7 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
454 Passes 243
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.01.2026 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-2 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
30.04.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
14.08.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
13.08.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
19.02.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
13.11.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY Real Zaragoza
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
383 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Real Zaragoza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Las Palmas carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 55% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Palmas and 1.17 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza?

Las Palmas 1-1 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 59%, draw 20%, Real Zaragoza 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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