Real Zaragoza 1-2 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.48
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
11%
5.75
X/2
15%
5.37
X/X
14%
3.56
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.02
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.19/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.08
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.3 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.53
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
224 Passes 464
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
14.08.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
13.08.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
19.02.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
13.11.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
15.05.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-2
AWAY Las Palmas
1.52 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
284 Passes 363
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas nicked a narrow win over Real Zaragoza 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Las Palmas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 47% of the ball to Las Palmas's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.52 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Zaragoza.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.67 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Las Palmas?

Real Zaragoza 1-2 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 34%, draw 30%, Las Palmas 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
4 Jan 2026
16:00 Sporting Gijon vs Malaga Analysis →
18:15 Ceuta vs FC Andorra Analysis →
20:30 Albacete vs Leganes Analysis →
23:00 Deportivo La Coruna vs Cadiz Analysis →