Albacete 1-3 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2026

Albacete
1-3 HT 1-1
Leganes
📅04/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Albacete vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.94
6+ Goals
11%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.3
X/2
9%
6.45
X/X
20%
4.19
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.65
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albacete v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.52/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.09
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.2 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Albacete vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leganes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
288 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.12.2025 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İSPK
12.05.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
27.08.2023 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.01.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
02.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.07.2022 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete HAZ

Albacete 1-3 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-3
AWAY Leganes
2.19 xG 1.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 437
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes saw off Albacete 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Leganes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 41% of the ball to Leganes's 59%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.19 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albacete and 0.67 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Leganes?

Albacete 1-3 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albacete 40%, draw 31%, Leganes 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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