Leganes 1-2 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 34%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.68/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.48
+22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Albacete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
324 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
27.08.2023 Leganes Leganes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.01.2023 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
02.10.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-2 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.07.2022 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete HAZ
14.02.2021 Leganes Leganes 3-1 HT 2-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
1-2
AWAY Albacete
0.55 xG 1.18
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
446 Passes 166
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete nicked a narrow win over Leganes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Albacete found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leganes had 68% of the ball to Albacete's 32%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.55 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 0.83 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Albacete?

Leganes 1-2 Albacete in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leganes 38%, draw 28%, Albacete 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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