Extremadura 1924 1-2 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
65%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+1.4pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Extremadura 1924 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 70%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.65/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.37
+150% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +55%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
8.0 Crosses 21.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Extremadura 1924
1-2
AWAY Sevilla
1.11 xG 1.59
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
194 Passes 441
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Extremadura 1924 vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla squeezed past Extremadura 1924 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Extremadura 1924 had 35% of the ball to Sevilla's 65%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.11 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Extremadura 1924 vs Sevilla?

Extremadura 1924 1-2 Sevilla in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Extremadura 1924 vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Extremadura 1924 16%, draw 19%, Sevilla 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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