Ponferradina vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Racing Santander
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Ponferradina
İS2
1-1
HT 1-1
Racing Santander
İS2
2-2
HT 0-0
Ponferradina
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ponferradina
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Racing Santander
İS2
Ponferradina 1-2 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Santander squeezed past Ponferradina 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ponferradina had 40% of the ball to Racing Santander's 60%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.41 to 2.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponferradina had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ponferradina and 1.00 for Racing Santander.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Racing Santander?
Ponferradina 1-2 Racing Santander in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Racing Santander?
Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 27%, draw 26%, Racing Santander 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.