Sant Andreu 1-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
67%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.2pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.1pp
67%
Away Win
64%
+2.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 69%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.08/1.22
+106% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -29%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
Crosses 18.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sant Andreu
1-1
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.68 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
407 Passes 567
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu and Celta Vigo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celta Vigo at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Sant Andreu had 43% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 57%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.68 to 1.43.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo?

Sant Andreu 1-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 17%, draw 16%, Celta Vigo 67%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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