Atletico Baleares 1-0 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 4 Dec 2025

📅04/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
34%
4.19
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-1.1pp
35%
Draw
20%
+14.1pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-13.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.2pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.82/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.47
+93% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +75%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
8.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
13.0 Crosses 22.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
1-0
AWAY Espanyol
0.50 xG 0.91
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 10
228 Passes 419
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares squeezed past Espanyol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Espanyol at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 37% of the ball to Espanyol's 63%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.50 to 0.91 — on chances, Espanyol could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Espanyol?

Atletico Baleares 1-0 Espanyol in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 13%, draw 35%, Espanyol 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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