Real Avila vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Avila v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Real Avila 1-2 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano squeezed past Real Avila 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Vallecano as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Real Avila had 24% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 76%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.32.
What was the final score of Real Avila vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Avila 1-2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 04/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 12%, draw 20%, Rayo Vallecano 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Vallecano), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.