Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 Jan 2026

📅04/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.32
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
20%
4.3
X/2
11%
9.38
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
7.72
2/X
11%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.50/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.52
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.3 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
371 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
30.11.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 2-4 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
19.01.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
21.09.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
12.05.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
22.12.2018 Cadiz Cadiz 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2-2
AWAY Cadiz
0.95 xG 0.76
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
461 Passes 255
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Cadiz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 62% of the ball to Cadiz's 38%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 0.95 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.00 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Cadiz?

Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 51%, draw 25%, Cadiz 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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