Real Murcia 3-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
8.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 28% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.16/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.90
-27% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Eldense
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Eldense Eldense 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
06.08.2025 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-1 HT 2-0 Eldense Eldense HAZ
14.01.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
03.04.2022 Eldense Eldense 1-3 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
14.11.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
3-0
AWAY Eldense
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia swept aside Eldense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 48% of the ball to Eldense's 52%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Real Murcia and 1.20 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Eldense?

Real Murcia 3-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 50%, draw 25%, Eldense 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5
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