Montedio Yamagata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 24 May 2026

Montedio Yamagata
3-1 HT 3-0
Shonan Bellmare
📅24/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montedio Yamagata v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 45%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.21/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.74
+3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +73%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.3 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 Passes 399
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.03.2026 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 1-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2-3
03.10.2015 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP
04.04.2015 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-2 HT 1-2 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
31.08.2014 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-3 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP2
09.10.2010 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-1 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JPK
25.09.2010 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP

Montedio Yamagata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3-1
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Shonan Bellmare 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shonan Bellmare at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 39% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 61%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.50 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Montedio Yamagata 3-1 Shonan Bellmare in the JAP2-3 on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 30%, draw 24%, Shonan Bellmare 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✓ BTTS Yes
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