Matsumoto Yamaga 3-3 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2026 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-3 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2-3
05.10.2025 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
07.06.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
27.07.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
17.03.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
12.11.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
3-3
AWAY Fukushima United
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga and Fukushima United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 49% of the ball to Fukushima United's 51%, shots finished 22-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fukushima United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.17 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Matsumoto Yamaga 3-3 Fukushima United in the JAP2-3 on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 45%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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