Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
16%
3.39
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.19
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.84
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.8 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
3W-0D-3L
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
258 Passes 290
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
12.10.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
17.02.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
20.11.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
05.01.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
04.08.2019 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
0-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.47 xG 1.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
301 Passes 287
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
37 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo edged past Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day San Lorenzo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 54% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 46%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.47 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold San Lorenzo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 1.17 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Gimnasia La Plata 0-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 36%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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