Talleres Cordoba 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.95
X/1
13%
3.58
X/2
7%
11.35
X/X
16%
4.69
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
9%
9.99
2/X
5%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.58
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
17.6 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.87 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 1-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
12.09.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
09.04.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-5 HT 0-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
05.10.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-0 HT 2-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
11.04.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
26.01.2020 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 4-1 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
0.40 xG 0.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 374
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba and Defensa y Justicia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Talleres Cordoba at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 45% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 55%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.40 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 2.50 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

Talleres Cordoba 1-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 49%, draw 29%, Defensa y Justicia 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Talleres Cordoba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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