CA Sarmiento 1-0 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.12
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.67
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
8%
15.95
X/1
9%
8.75
X/2
19%
3.94
X/X
11%
3.8
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.5
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.02/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.05
-6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.8 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 1.60
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
111 Passes 499
57% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 0-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.10.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
12.03.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
04.07.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
02.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 4-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
01.08.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-0
AWAY Racing Club
0.70 xG 1.18
24% Ball Possession 76%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 11
79 Passes 427
45% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento nicked a narrow win over Racing Club 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 24% of the ball to Racing Club's 76%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.70 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Racing Club.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CA Sarmiento and 1.33 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Racing Club?

CA Sarmiento 1-0 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 24%, draw 25%, Racing Club 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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