La Equidad 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.50/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.39
-5% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
19.7 Crosses 11.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.88 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
266 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.09.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
19.04.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
08.10.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.04.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
05.09.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-0
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.50 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
297 Passes 168
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad squeezed past Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 59% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 41%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.50 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Equidad and 0.33 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

La Equidad 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 54%, draw 25%, Jaguares De Cordoba 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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