Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 50%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.51 to 0.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 49%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.