Patriotas Boyaca 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.58 xG 1.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
160 Passes 446
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
29.11.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLB
08.09.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLB
23.04.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLB
25.03.2023 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0-2
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.14 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
253 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF saw off Patriotas Boyaca 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Fortaleza CEIF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 48% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 52%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.14 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Patriotas Boyaca 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 34%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
24 Jul 2024
02:10 La Equidad vs Jaguares De Cordoba Analysis →
04:20 Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Analysis →