Gine U23 1-2 Yeni Zelanda U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
3%
14.45
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
8.45
X/X
17%
4.27
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
6%
6.95
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · X/2 at 8.45 — our 16% vs market 8.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gine U23 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gine U23
1-2
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U23
1.36 xG 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
385 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gine U23 vs Yeni Zelanda U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeni Zelanda U23 edged past Gine U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gine U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gine U23 had 56% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda U23's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.36 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Gine U23 vs Yeni Zelanda U23?

Gine U23 1-2 Yeni Zelanda U23 in the Olympics on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gine U23 vs Yeni Zelanda U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gine U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gine U23 45%, draw 25%, Yeni Zelanda U23 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gine U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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