Japonya U23 5-0 Paraguay U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 31% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.71
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
13%
13.5
X/1
10%
4.47
X/2
4%
7.25
X/X
10%
4.76
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
22%
5.34
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
5-0
AWAY Paraguay U23
1.87 xG 0.38
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
476 Passes 218
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Paraguay U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 ran out comfortable winners over Paraguay U23 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Japonya U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 64% of the ball to Paraguay U23's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.87 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Japonya U23 5-0 Paraguay U23 in the Olympics on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Paraguay U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 37%, draw 29%, Paraguay U23 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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