Irak U23 2-1 Ukrayna U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
52%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.58
6+ Goals
6%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.29
1/2
4%
28.5
1/X
4%
15.5
X/1
10%
7.52
X/2
11%
4.06
X/X
18%
4.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
37%
2.67
2/X
4%
14.9
Value flag · 2/2 at 2.67 — our 37% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak U23
2-1
AWAY Ukrayna U23
0.96 xG 1.07
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
259 Passes 468
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Irak U23 vs Ukrayna U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak U23 edged past Ukrayna U23 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ukrayna U23 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Irak U23 had 38% of the ball to Ukrayna U23's 62%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Irak U23 vs Ukrayna U23?

Irak U23 2-1 Ukrayna U23 in the Olympics on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak U23 vs Ukrayna U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ukrayna U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Irak U23 22%, draw 26%, Ukrayna U23 52%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ukrayna U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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