24/07/2026
·
00:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
27%
Draw
27%
21%
Away Win
20%
56%
Under 2.5
58%
44%
Over 2.5
42%
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
52%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leones del Norte
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Guayaquil City
EU Bookmakers 23%
+35% /
+35%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-1%
1.86/0.94
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.87/1.78
+87%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+5%
/
-7%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
371 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 78%
12.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.5
13.0
Crosses
9.5
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Leones del Norte
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Guayaquil City
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
0.23
xG
1.04
33%
Ball Possession
67%
8
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Target
3
1
Corners
6
206
Passes
542
80%
Pass Accuracy
88%
7
Box Touches
35
11
Crosses
20
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
Leones del Norte 1-1 Guayaquil City — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Leones del Norte
1-1
AWAY
Guayaquil City
2.18
xG
0.77
33
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
5
9
Corners
1
330
Passes
217
30
Box Touches
8
37
Crosses
6
2
Yellow Cards
3
FAQ
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Ecuador - Premier on 24 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, shots finished 33-6, expected goals 2.18 to 0.77.
What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City?
Leones del Norte 1-1 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leones del Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 52%, draw 27%, Guayaquil City 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leones del Norte), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Leones del Norte)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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24 Jul 2026