Orense 2-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Jul 2026

Orense
2-1 HT 1-1
Aucas
📅24/07/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.07
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.9 Crosses 17.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aucas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 Passes 264
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2026 Aucas Aucas 3-2 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
22.09.2025 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
25.05.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
03.08.2024 Orense Orense 4-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
02.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
04.12.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
2-1
AWAY Aucas
1.04 xG 1.07
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
342 Passes 217
27 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Orense vs Aucas
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Orense edged past Aucas 2-1 in the Ecuador - Premier on 24 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.04 to 1.07.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orense and 1.33 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Orense vs Aucas?

Orense 2-1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orense 32%, draw 28%, Aucas 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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