Emelec 1-1 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -33%
1.28/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.62
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.2 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 181
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2026 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
20.07.2025 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
30.03.2025 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
12.08.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 3-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
09.03.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
23.09.2023 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
1-1
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.28 xG 1.16
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
322 Passes 267
23 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Emelec vs Mushuc Runa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emelec and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Ecuador - Premier on 24 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.28 to 1.16.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Emelec and 1.17 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Mushuc Runa?

Emelec 1-1 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Emelec 52%, draw 24%, Mushuc Runa 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Emelec), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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