Mushuc Runa vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
4-0
HT 2-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 1-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa and Emelec couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Mushuc Runa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 58% of the ball to Emelec's 42%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.28 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.17 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Emelec?
Mushuc Runa 1-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 52%, draw 23%, Emelec 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No went the other way.