Macara 0-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.86
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +94%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.1 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
213 Passes 204
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
24.03.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
18.10.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
23.05.2022 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
07.11.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
25.05.2021 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.53 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
247 Passes 231
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Macara vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario squeezed past Macara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tecnico Universitario found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Macara had 52% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.53 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 1.33 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

Macara 0-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Macara 32%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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