Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.30/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
+14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.6 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-2D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
296 Passes 354
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 5-0 HT 4-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
29.08.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKVK
03.06.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-2 HT 1-2 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
08.08.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
25.02.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
17.07.2022 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-2
AWAY LDU Quito
0.47 xG 1.28
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
204 Passes 410
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
4 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito edged past Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day LDU Quito made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 37% of the ball to LDU Quito's 63%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.47 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.17 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU Quito?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 36%, draw 23%, LDU Quito 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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