Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
Emelec 1-0 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec squeezed past Mushuc Runa 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Emelec as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Emelec had 57% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 43%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Emelec and 0.83 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Mushuc Runa?
Emelec 1-0 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Emelec 52%, draw 24%, Mushuc Runa 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emelec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.