Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.38/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.99
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.6 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Macara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
193 Passes 210
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2025 Macara Macara 0-1 HT 0-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.09.2024 Macara Macara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
24.03.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
18.10.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
23.05.2022 Macara Macara 3-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
07.11.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-0
AWAY Macara
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario edged past Macara 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Tecnico Universitario made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 37% of the ball to Macara's 63%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 0.83 for Macara.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Tecnico Universitario 1-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 32%, draw 30%, Macara 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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