Mushuc Runa vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mushuc Runa v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Mushuc Runa vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
Mushuc Runa 2-0 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Mushuc Runa beat Emelec 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mushuc Runa had 45% of the ball to Emelec's 55%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.11 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.83 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Emelec?
Mushuc Runa 2-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 41%, draw 27%, Emelec 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.