Aucas 3-2 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Mar 2026

Aucas
3-2 HT 2-0
Orense
📅24/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.55/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.38
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.0 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
272 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Aucas Aucas 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
25.05.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 2-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
03.08.2024 Orense Orense 4-0 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
02.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
04.12.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.06.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
3-2
AWAY Orense
1.99 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
300 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Aucas vs Orense
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aucas edged past Orense 3-2 in the Ecuador - Premier on 24 Mar 2026. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aucas had 46% of the ball to Orense's 54%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.99 to 1.18.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aucas and 1.17 for Orense.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Orense?

Aucas 3-2 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aucas 51%, draw 29%, Orense 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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