24/07/2026
·
18:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Aubagne vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
26%
Draw
27%
43%
Away Win
43%
48%
Under 2.5
52%
52%
Over 2.5
48%
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
49%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aubagne v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aubagne
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bastia
EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
295 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Aubagne vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aubagne and Bastia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Bastia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Aubagne vs Bastia?
Aubagne 1-1 Bastia in the Friendlies on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 31%, draw 26%, Bastia 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bastia), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Bastia)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
24 Jul 2026