Wolfsburg 0-2 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
4.58
Over 2.5
69%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.31
No
36%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
10.0
2-3 Goals
40%
2.57
4-5 Goals
32%
2.25
6+ Goals
12%
3.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.01
1/2
7%
15.45
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
8%
10.2
X/2
11%
4.95
X/X
9%
8.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
31%
1.98
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
49%
Away Win
57%
-7.4pp
31%
Under 2.5
18%
+12.1pp
69%
Over 2.5
82%
-12.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.6pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 61%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.51/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.52
+22% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon got the better of Wolfsburg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Lyon?

Wolfsburg 0-2 Lyon in the Friendlies on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 29%, draw 22%, Lyon 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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