Bournemouth 4-1 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.66
No
34%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
19%
4.27
X/2
11%
10.25
X/X
7%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.35
2/2
13%
7.66
2/X
7%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
56%
+9.9pp
34%
BTTS No
44%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
3.41/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.36
+68% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
4-1
AWAY St. Pauli
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Bournemouth vs St. Pauli
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Bournemouth ran out comfortable winners over St. Pauli 4-1 in the Friendlies on 24 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was favoured at 66%.

On the day, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs St. Pauli?

Bournemouth 4-1 St. Pauli in the Friendlies on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 47%, draw 23%, St. Pauli 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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