Cacereno 1-1 Real Jaen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2026

📅24/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
1-1
AWAY Real Jaen
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Real Jaen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno and Real Jaen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Real Jaen?

Cacereno 1-1 Real Jaen in the Friendlies on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Real Jaen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 44%, draw 29%, Real Jaen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cacereno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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