Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2026

Ebbsfleet United
1-1 HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
📅24/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Ebbsfleet United vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
8%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Cardiff MU — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-1
AWAY Cardiff MU
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and Cardiff MU couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Ebbsfleet United carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Cardiff MU?

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Cardiff MU in the Friendlies on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 55%, draw 23%, Cardiff MU 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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