Wolfsburg U19 3-3 Hamburger SV U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
19%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.5pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg U19 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburger SV U19 EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
3.94/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.62
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +69%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hamburger SV U19
7.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.03.2024 Hamburger SV U19 Hamburger SV U19 0-7 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg U19 Wolfsburg U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg U19
3-3
AWAY Hamburger SV U19
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg U19 vs Hamburger SV U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg U19 and Hamburger SV U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wolfsburg U19 at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg U19 had 45% of the ball to Hamburger SV U19's 55%, shots finished 9-19.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg U19 vs Hamburger SV U19?

Wolfsburg U19 3-3 Hamburger SV U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg U19 vs Hamburger SV U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg U19 60%, draw 19%, Hamburger SV U19 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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