FC Minsk 3-2 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 36% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.05/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.04
-7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
29.10.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.06.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
02.09.2022 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
23.04.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.10.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
3-2
AWAY Dinamo Brest
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk squeezed past Dinamo Brest 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Brest at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Minsk had 49% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 51%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Minsk and 1.67 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?

FC Minsk 3-2 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 28%, draw 24%, Dinamo Brest 48%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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