Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smorgon v Naftan Novopolotsk — Team-Based Signals
Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Smorgon
BLR
1-0
HT 0-0
Naftan Novopolotsk
BLR
0-1
HT 0-1
Smorgon
BLR1
Smorgon 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk — Actual Match Statistics
Smorgon squeezed past Naftan Novopolotsk 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Smorgon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Smorgon had 56% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 44%, shots finished 14-17.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Smorgon had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Smorgon and 1.00 for Naftan Novopolotsk.
What was the final score of Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
Smorgon 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 44%, draw 25%, Naftan Novopolotsk 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smorgon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.