Naesby 1-0 FA 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+11.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.1pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FA 2000 EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.68/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.58
-3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-1D-2L
AWAY FA 2000
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2023 Naesby Naesby 4-3 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN3
22.04.2023 FA 2000 FA 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
29.10.2022 Naesby Naesby 0-1 HT 0-0 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN3
24.09.2022 FA 2000 FA 2000 2-1 HT 2-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
27.06.2020 FA 2000 FA 2000 0-2 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
1-0
AWAY FA 2000
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs FA 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby squeezed past FA 2000 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FA 2000 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Naesby had 56% of the ball to FA 2000's 44%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Naesby and 1.20 for FA 2000.

What was the final score of Naesby vs FA 2000?

Naesby 1-0 FA 2000 in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs FA 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naesby 33%, draw 25%, FA 2000 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FA 2000) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA 2000) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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