Lyseng 1-3 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
15%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyseng EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.52/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.51
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyseng
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Holstebro BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 1-2 HT 0-2 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
14.04.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 2-3 HT 2-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
09.03.2024 Lyseng Lyseng 3-2 HT 3-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
03.09.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-3 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
03.06.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 0-2 HT 0-2 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
16.04.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 2-2 HT 0-1 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
POST-MATCH Lyseng vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK beat Lyseng 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holstebro BK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyseng had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lyseng and 1.83 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Lyseng vs Holstebro BK?

Lyseng 1-3 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 29%, draw 28%, Holstebro BK 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstebro BK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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