Holbaek 2-0 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.80/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.45
+42% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 4-3 HT 3-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
14.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-1 HT 1-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.03.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
12.08.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 0-3 HT 0-3 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
20.03.2021 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN2
26.09.2020 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek saw off VSK Arhus 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Holbaek found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holbaek and 1.67 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs VSK Arhus?

Holbaek 2-0 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 38%, draw 26%, VSK Arhus 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ BTTS Yes
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