El Nacional vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Aucas — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Aucas
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
2-2
HT 0-1
Aucas
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 0-0 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional and Aucas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was El Nacional at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, El Nacional had 41% of the ball to Aucas's 59%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for El Nacional and 1.50 for Aucas.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Aucas?
El Nacional 0-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Aucas?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 41%, draw 26%, Aucas 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Nacional) went the other way.