Mushuc Runa 0-0 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.4pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 17%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.87/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.35
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
21.6 Crosses 11.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cumbaya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
278 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 Cumbaya Cumbaya 2-1 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
30.09.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
30.04.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-1 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
31.07.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-1 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
21.07.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKVK
12.03.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 4-2 HT 2-1 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
0-0
AWAY Cumbaya
1.20 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
204 Passes 170
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa and Cumbaya played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mushuc Runa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 50% of the ball to Cumbaya's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.20 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.17 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Cumbaya?

Mushuc Runa 0-0 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 56%, draw 19%, Cumbaya 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mushuc Runa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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