SJK Akatemia 1-1 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
8%
9.22
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 27% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -19%
1.05/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.91
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY TPS Turku
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
24.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
29.04.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-3 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
18.02.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-0 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINYK
22.09.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-2 HT 2-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FINY
31.07.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 4-1 HT 4-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
1-1
AWAY TPS Turku
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia and TPS Turku shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 41% of the ball to TPS Turku's 59%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SJK Akatemia and 2.17 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku?

SJK Akatemia 1-1 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykkönen on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 35%, draw 26%, TPS Turku 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TPS Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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